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Building a Large-Scale, Automated Forecasting System

Курс от SAS
Средний≈ 12.9 чАнглийский
О курсеНавыкиПрограммаПреподаватели

О курсе

In this course you learn to develop and maintain a large-scale forecasting project using SAS Visual Forecasting tools. Emphasis is initially on selecting appropriate methods for data creation and variable transformations, model generation, and model selection. Then you learn how to improve overall baseline forecasting performance by modifying default processes in the system. This course is appropriate for analysts interested in augmenting their machine learning skills with analysis tools that are appropriate for assaying, modifying, modeling, forecasting, and managing data that consist of variables that are collected over time. The courses is primarily syntax based, so analysts taking this course need some familiarity with coding. Experience with an object-oriented language is helpful, as is familiarity with manipulating large tables.

Навыки, которые вы освоите

ForecastingModel EvaluationTime Series Analysis and ForecastingPredictive ModelingData ProcessingAnomaly DetectionData TransformationSAS (Software)Statistical MethodsStatistical ModelingFeature EngineeringAutomation

Программа курса

10 модулей · 101 учебных материалов

01Specialization Overview (Review)4 материалов

Welcome

OverviewВидеоGetting the Most from this SpecializationЧтениеUsing Forum and Getting HelpЧтениеFrequently Asked QuestionsЧтение
02Course Overview4 материалов

Учитесь у экспертов

Jay Laramore

Sr Analytical Training Consultant

Marc Huber

Sr Analytical Training Consultant

Chip Wells

Senior Manager, Analytical Education

Building a Large-Scale, Automated Forecasting System
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Обучение на Coursera

≈ 12.9 ч

10 модулей

Язык: Английский

Субтитры: Арабский, Французский, Итальянский, Бразильский португальский, Корейский, Немецкий, Испанский, Японский, Венгерский

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Course Overview

Welcome to the courseВидеоPrerequisitesЧтениеAccess SAS Viya for Learners for Demos and PracticesВнешний инструментAccessing the Course Files and Practicing in this Course (REQUIRED)Чтение
03Introduction to Large-Scale Forecasting8 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

The Large-Scale Forecasting Problem

Large-Scale ForecastingВидеоAnalysts and AlgorithmsВидеоThink About It: Large-Scale Forecasting SystemsЗадание

Forecasting System Overview

ATSM Package ObjectsВидеоObjects and Information FlowsВидеоOther Useful ConfigurationsВидео
04Exploring and Processing Timestamped Data19 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

Accumulation: Transforming Transactional Data into Time Series Data

Time Series AccumulationВидеоTime Binning and IndexingВидеоAccumulation in the TSMODEL ProcedureВидеоQuestion - Accumulation MethodsЗаданиеDemo: Accumulation Using the TSMODEL ProcedureВидео

Handling Missing and Zero-Valued Intervals

Missing Value InterpretationВидеоMissing Value ImputationВидеоDemo: Missing Value Interpretation and ImputationВидеоThink About It - Missing Value Interpretation and ImputationЗадание

Aggregation: Building the Data Hierarchy

Time Series AggregationВидеоBuilding the Data Hierarchy in TSMODELВидеоQuestion - PROC TSMODELЗаданиеDemo: Using PROC TSMODEL to Create the Data HierarchyВидеоPractice: Exploring and Accumulating a Time SeriesЗаданиеPractice: Building the Data HierarchyЗадание

Packages for TSMODEL

PROC TSMODEL PackagesВидеоUsing PROC TSMODEL PackagesВидео
05Automatic Forecasting: Model Specification and Selection11 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоIntroduction to ATSM ObjectsВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

Automatic Model Specification

The DIAGSPEC ObjectВидеоDIAGSPEC Object MethodsВидеоThe DIAGNOSE ObjectВидеоQuestion - System Model TypesЗадание

Automatic Forecast Generation

The FORENG ObjectВидеоCollector ObjectsВидеоDemo: Automatic Model Selection Using the ATSM PackageВидеоPractice: Generating an Automatic ForecastЗадание
06Creating Custom Models and Managing Model Lists10 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоCustom Models and the TSM PackageВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

The Time Series Model (TSM) Package

The TSM PackageВидеоTSM Package Syntax HighlightsВидеоDemo: Creating and Fitting a Custom Specification with the TSM PackageВидеоThink About It - Explanatory VariablesЗадание

Adding Custom Models to the Automatic Forecasting System

Adding Custom ModelsВидеоDemo: Combining Custom and System-Generated Models in the Model Selection ProcessВидеоPractice: Creating a Custom ModelЗадание
07Event Variables in the Forecasting System17 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

introduction to Event Variables

Introduction to Event VariablesВидеоThink About It - Event VariablesЗаданиеEvent Variables in SAS Visual ForecastingВидео

Creating Event Variables in the ATSM Package

Creating Event Variables in the ATSM PackageВидеоImplementing Event Variables Defined in the ATSM PackageВидеоDemo: Creating and Implementing Event Variables in the ATSM PackageВидео

Creating Event Variables with the HPFEVENTS Procedure

Creating Event Variables in the HPFEVENTS ProcedureВидеоImplementing Event Variables Defined in the HPFEVENTS ProcedureВидеоQuestion - HPFEVENTS ProcedureЗаданиеDemo: Creating Event Variables in the HPFEVENTS Procedure and Implementing Them in the ATSM PackageВидео

BY-Group Processing for Event Variables

BY-Group FunctionalityВидеоImplementing BY-Group Processing for Event VariablesВидеоDemo: BY-Group Processing for Event VariablesВидеоPractice: Creating Event Variables Using EVENTKEY MethodsЗаданиеPractice: Accommodating Event Variables as Candidate Explanatory VariablesЗадание
08Reconciling Statistical Forecasts10 материалов

Module Overview and Introduction

About This ModuleВидеоReconciliation BasicsВидеоThink About It - Reconciling Statistical ForecastsЗаданиеOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

Basic Forecast Reconciliation

Performing Basic Forecast ReconciliationВидеоDemo: Top-Down Reconciliation Using the TSRECONCILE ProcedureВидео

Disaggregation Methods

Performing DisaggregationВидео

Bottom-Up Reconciliation

Performing Bottom-Up ReconciliationВидеоDemo: Performing Bottom-Up ReconciliationВидеоPractice: Reconciling Statistical ForecastsЗадание
09Setting Up the Forecasting System and Generating Best Forecasts17 материалов

Module Overview

About This ModuleВидеоOpen SAS Viya for Learners to Practice in this ModuleВнешний инструмент

Honest Assessment and Baseline Performance

Holdout Sample Model SelectionВидеоHoldout PartitioningВидеоQuestion - Honest Assessment for Model SelectionЗаданиеPerformance MeasuresВидеоDemo: Implementing Honest Assessment for Model Selection and Creating Benchmark Accuracy DiagnosticsВидео

Combined Model Forecasts

Combined ModelsВидеоDemo: Adding Combined Models to the Forecasting SystemВидео

Outlier Detection

Outlier DetectionВидеоDemo: Adding Outlier Detection to the Forecasting SystemВидео

Conditional Processing and Error Catching

Conditional ProcessingВидеоDemo: Conditional Processing and Error CatchingВидео

Rolling the Forecasting System Forward in Time

Rolling the Forecasting System Forward in TimeВидеоStability and Updating ModelsВидеоDemo: Rolling the System Forward in TimeВидеоPractice: Generating Best ForecastsЗадание
10Course Review1 материалов

Review Quiz

Building a Large-Scale, Automated Forecasting System - Course ExamЗадание