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Simulation Models for Decision Making · LearnSpace
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Simulation Models for Decision Making

Курс от University of Minnesota
Начальный≈ 17.4 чАнглийский
О курсеНавыкиПрограммаПреподаватели

О курсе

This course is primarily aimed at third- and fourth-year undergraduate students or graduate students interested in learning simulation techniques to solve business problems. The course will introduce you to take everyday and complex business problems that have no one correct answer due to uncertainties that exist in business environments. Simulation modeling allows us to explore various outcomes and protect personal or business interests against unwanted outcomes. We can model uncertainties by using the concepts of probability and stepwise thinking. Stepwise thinking allows us to break down the problem in smaller components, explore dependencies between related events and allows us to focus on aspects of problem that are prone to changes due to future uncertainties. The course will introduce you to advanced Excel techniques to model and execute simulation models. Many of the Excel techniques learned in the course will be useful beyond simulation modeling. We will learn both Monte Carlo simulation techniques where overall outcome is of primary interest and discrete event simulation where intermediate dependencies between related events might be of interest. The course will introduce you to several practical issues in simulation modeling that are normally not covered in textbooks. The course uses a few running examples throughout the course to demonstrate concepts and provide concrete modeling examples. After taking the course a student will be able to develop fairly advanced simulation models to explore fairly broad range of business environments and outcomes.

Навыки, которые вы освоите

Microsoft ExcelSimulation and Simulation SoftwareExcel FormulasProbabilityProbability DistributionSimulationsPredictive ModelingSolution DesignRisk ModelingStatistical MethodsAnalysisEstimationComplex Problem SolvingExcel MacrosProbability & StatisticsOperations ResearchBusiness ModelingData Modeling

Программа курса

4 модулей · 74 учебных материалов

01Week 1: Probability Concepts19 материалов

Week 1: Course Introduction

Specialization OverviewВидеоAlok Gupta: A Personal IntroductionВидеоSimulation Models for Decision Making Course OverviewВидео

Week 1 Lesson 1: Introduction to Probability Concepts

Module 1 OverviewВидео

Учитесь у экспертов

Alok Gupta

Associate Dean of Faculty & Research

Simulation Models for Decision Making
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Обучение на Coursera

≈ 17.4 ч

4 модулей

Язык: Английский

Субтитры: Арабский, Французский, Узбекский, Украинский, Китайский (Китай), Греческий, Итальянский, Бразильский португальский, Нидерландский, Корейский, Немецкий, Пушту, Русский, Тайский, Индонезийский, Шведский, Турецкий, Испанский, Дари, Хинди, Японский, Казахский, Польский

Часть программы вашего университета
Introduction to ProbabilityВидео
Axioms of ProbabilityВидео
Dice SimulationВидео
Module 1 Lesson 1 Practice QuizЗадание

Week 1 Lesson 2: More Probability Concepts

PermutationsВидеоPermutations and ProbabilityВидеоState Space (Combinations)ВидеоModule 1 Lesson 2 Practice QuizЗадание

Week 1 Lesson 3: Probability Concepts Continued

Joint ProbabilityВидеоSimulate Rolling Two Dice Part 1ВидеоSimulate Rolling Two Dice Part 2ВидеоTwo Dice GameВидеоRules of ProbabilityВидеоModule 1 Lesson 3 Practice QuizЗадание

Week/Module 1 Wrap-up

Module 1 Graded QuizЗадание
02Week/Module 2: Probability Distributions and Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulations18 материалов

Module 2 Lesson 1: Probability Distributions

Module 2 Overview: Probability Distributions and Introduction to Monte Carlo SimulationsВидеоIntro to Common Probability Distributions: Uniform DistributionsВидеоIntro to Common Probability Distributions: Normal DistributionsВидеоNormal Distributions LabВидеоIntro to Common Probability Distributions: Exponential DistributionВидеоExponential Distributions LabВидеоModule 2 Lesson 1 Practice QuizЗадание

Module 2 Lesson 2: Continuing with Probability Distributions

Empirical Probability DistributionsВидеоHistogram Lab Part 1ВидеоHistogram Lab Part 2ВидеоModule 2 Lesson 2 Practice QuizЗадание

Module 2 Lesson 3

Simulation ModelingВидеоTypes of Simulation ModelingВидеоBest Practices for Simulation Modeling - What the Books Won't Tell YouВидеоTricks of the Trade Part 1ВидеоTricks of the Trade Part 2ВидеоModule 2 Lesson 3 Practice QuizЗадание

Week/Module 2 Wrap-up

Module 2 Graded QuizЗадание
03Week 3: Monte Carlo Simulations16 материалов

Module 3 Lesson 1: Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulations

Module 3 Overview: Monte Carlo SimulationsВидеоSimulating a Coffee Shop: Customers & RevenueВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Model 1ВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation LabВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation Lab AnalysisВидео

Module 3 Lesson 2: Continuing with Monte Carlo Simulations

Coffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Model 2ВидеоCoffee Shop Model 2 LabВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Model 3ВидеоCoffee Shop Model 3 LabВидео

Module 3 Lesson 3: Digging Deeper into Monte Carlo Simulations

Coffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Model 4ВидеоCoffee Shop Model 4 Lab Part 1ВидеоCoffee Shop Model 4 Lab Part 2ВидеоCoffee Shop Model 4 Lab Part 3ВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation: Revenue Comparisons - Models 1, 2, & 4Видео

Week/Module 3 Wrap-Up

Module 3 Practice QuizЗаданиеModule 3 Graded QuizЗадание
04Week 4: Counterfactual Analysis and Discrete Event Simulations21 материалов

Week 4 Lesson 1: Counterfactual Analysis

Module 4 Overview: Counterfactual Analysis and Discrete Event SimulationsВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Model 5ВидеоCoffee Shop Weather Simulation Part 1ВидеоCoffee Shop Weather Simulation Part 2ВидеоCoffee Shop Simulation: Monte Carlo - Counterfactual AnalysisВидео

Week 4 Lesson 2: Discrete Event Simulation

Discrete Event SimulationВидеоDiscrete Event Simulation: Basic Concepts & DefinitionsВидеоDiscrete Event Simulation: Excel Lab StrategiesВидео

Week 4 Lesson 3: Simulations - Queuing

Excel Lab: Building QueuesВидеоSimulating M/M/1 QueuesВидеоUsing Empirical Distribution to SimulateВидеоUsing Percentile DistributionВидео

Week 4 Lesson 4: Discrete Events Simulations

Creating X/Y/2 Simulations in Excel Part 1ВидеоCreating X/Y/2 Simulations in Excel Part 2ВидеоSummary of Discrete Event SimulationВидео

Week 4 Module Wrap Up

Module 4 Practice QuizЗаданиеModule 4 Graded QuizЗаданиеCourse in Review & CongratulationsВидео

OPTIONAL Lesson: MSBA Program

Carlson School of Management - MS in Business AnalyticsВидеоCarlson School of Management - MS in Business AnalyticsЧтениеManagement Information Systems (MIS) Research CenterЧтение