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Quantitative Tools for Risk and Decision Analysis · LearnSpace
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Quantitative Tools for Risk and Decision Analysis

Курс от John Wiley & Sons
Продвинутый≈ 4.4 чАнглийский
О курсеНавыкиПрограммаПреподаватели

О курсе

Master the quantitative techniques essential for effective risk analysis and decision-making, including calibration, Monte Carlo simulations, and the value of information. This course teaches you practical methods to quantify uncertainty and improve decision quality. You’ll explore advanced measurement tools, such as calibration training, risk modeling, and value of information analysis. Learn to apply Monte Carlo simulations to real-world scenarios, assess uncertainty’s impact, and determine the value of reducing uncertainty. The course guides you from identifying what to measure to selecting the appropriate measurement methods, ensuring you can tackle various professional challenges. Through clear explanations, real-world examples, and structured quizzes, this course will help you internalize the quantitative methods for risk and decision analysis, enabling you to apply them practically in uncertain environments. This course is part two of a three-course Specialization designed to provide a comprehensive learning pathway in this subject area. While it delivers standalone value and practical skills, learners seeking a more integrated and in-depth progression may benefit from completing the full Specialization. This Specialization is based on the book How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of “Intangibles“ in Business, by Douglas W. Hubbard. From How to Measure Anything Copyright © 2014 by Douglas W. Hubbard. All rights reserved. Used by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Навыки, которые вы освоите

Data CollectionData-Driven Decision-MakingPredictive ModelingProbability DistributionAnalysisRisk AnalysisForecastingDecision MakingProbabilityQuantitative ResearchSimulation and Simulation SoftwareData AnalysisRisk ModelingStatisticsStrategic Decision-MakingStatistical ModelingStatistical MethodsEstimationRisk ManagementStrategic Prioritization

Программа курса

4 модулей · 36 учебных материалов

01Calibrated Estimates: How Much Do You Know Now?9 материалов

Mastering Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals and Calibration in Practice

OverviewВидеоIntroductionЧтениеCalibration ExerciseЧтениеCalibration Trick: Bet Money (or Even Just Pretend To)Чтение

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Wiley Skills Network

Преподаватель курса

Quantitative Tools for Risk and Decision Analysis
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Обучение на Coursera

≈ 4.4 ч

4 модулей

Язык: Английский

Часть программы вашего университета
Getting Equivalent Bets RightЧтение
Conceptual Obstacles to CalibrationЧтение
The Effects of Calibration TrainingЧтение
A Purely Philosophical Interlude #3: Confidence in Confidence Intervals: Does 90% Confidence Mean 90% Probability?Чтение
Calibration and Confidence in EstimationЗадание
02Quantifying Risk through Modeling7 материалов

Mastering Monte Carlo: Practical Tools for Risk and Uncertainty

OverviewВидеоIntroductionЧтениеReal Risk Analysis: The Monte CarloЧтениеAn Example of the Monte Carlo Method and RiskЧтениеTools and Other Resources for Monte Carlo SimulationsЧтениеThe Risk Paradox and the Need for Better Risk AnalysisЧтениеQuantifying Risk through ModelingЗадание
03Quantifying the Value of Information10 материалов

Unlocking Decision Power: Measuring and Maximizing Information Value

OverviewВидеоIntroductionЧтениеValue of InformationЧтениеComputing an "Incremental Probability"ЧтениеValue of Information Analysis on the Supplementary WebsiteЧтениеThe Imperfect World: The Value of Partial Uncertainty ReductionЧтениеA Common Measurement MythЧтениеThe Epiphany Equation: How the Value of Information Changes EverythingЧтениеMeasurement Inversion ExampleЧтениеEvaluating Information Value in Decision ModelsЗадание
04The Transition: From What to Measure to How to Measure10 материалов

From Questions to Quantification: Building Reliable Measurement Strategies

OverviewВидеоIntroductionЧтениеTools of Observation: Introduction to the Instrument of MeasurementЧтениеDecompositionЧтениеSecondary Research: Assuming You Weren't the First to Measure ItЧтениеSome Basic Methods of ObservationЧтениеConsider the ErrorЧтениеSmall Random Samples versus Large Nonrandom SamplesЧтениеChoose and Design the InstrumentЧтениеMeasuring Uncertainty and Decomposition StrategiesЗадание